A tropical disturbance over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico has grown larger overnight, just in time for the official start of hurricane season.
According to the National Hurricane Center, a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form in the next few days, but conditions for additional development will increase by the weekend.
The Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate the system later today.
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Jun 1 2023 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Northeastern Gulf of Mexico (AL91): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico have increased and become better organized during the overnight hours. Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form over that time span as the system meanders over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. However, by this weekend environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for additional development as the system drifts southward, likely remaining offshore over the Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall could occur over portions of the Florida Peninsula through this weekend. Additional information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather Prediction Center. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.